Artificial Intelligence and Its Significance to International Relations and Diplomacy
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND DIPLOMACY
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND ITS SIGNIFICANCE TO INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND DIPLOMACY
Since the end of the Cold War, nations have been urged to act diplomatically. However, competition persists among them, and it is challenging to strive. Different nations' perspectives on innovation and AI competition have a significant impact on how their diplomatic traditions and institutions develop. Countries use diplomacy to find allies and sway political actors who aren't sure whether to support their objectives since they pose a threat (Kļaviņš 2021).
Advances in machine learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI) signal a turning point in the use of automation in combat. Many of AI's most transformational applications have not yet been addressed by the U.S. military and intelligence communities (Allen and Chan, 2017). Studies have shown that there is potential for artificial intelligence to develop into a significant, possibly crucial instrument for organising and carrying out diplomatic negotiations. According to (Stanzel and Voelsen 2022), there is a lot of evidence to show that those who are most successful in embracing the potential of machine learning will have an advantage in negotiations in the future.
AI knowledge is essential as various participants have noted, there is now more competition for highly skilled workers in the field of AI. In order for their nations to be independent of the dominating AI expertise that is currently primarily concentrated in the US and China, governments around the world must invest in cultivating and maintaining homegrown talent and competence in AI. But just the US and China are the only countries engaged in AI competition other minority countries poses potentials to compete with the right expertise because AI knowledge is the key (Kļaviņš 2021).
In adapting to foreign policy or international practice, diplomacy supports nations' efforts to advance AI use collectively while preserving their important interests in this potent group of emerging technologies. In the field of artificial intelligence, diplomacy can also be used to pursue less conflicting but related objectives. Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFAs) are interested in developing AI expertise in addition to traditional national interest activities since it may provide enhanced efficacy, speed, and efficiency (Bjola, 2020).
The battle for AI superiority imposes new obligations on the participants involved since AI innovations are so dynamic and extensive. For national governments to develop long-term AI strategies in which diplomacy can play a leading role as a mediator between the conflicting interests of states, civil society, and private sector actors, it is important to quote Joseph E. Stiglitz, who previously stated that "designing a competition policy that works will be the most important part of the strategy for maintaining competitiveness in the market economy" (Kļaviņš 2021).
To use reinforcement learning successfully in the real world, agents must build high-dimensional environment representations and generalise past experience. This gives rise to the need of a route that is more efficient than natural (Mnih, et al., 2015). AI's ability to make decisions in tasks with enough data has also improved. Go or Atari games are examples. Google Deepmind trains AI on data from Google's datacenters to "better predict when incoming compute demand will land" and reduce cooling power use (Burgess, 2016).
The primary benefit of AI is how quickly it can process information, superseding human intervention. It, however, has flaws, as it doesn't always explain why something happened and lacks political judgement (Stanzel and Voelsen 2022).
A Balance-of-Threat Perspective On How Artificial Intelligence Could Impact Preventive Diplomacy
AI has shown to be a successful tool for preventive diplomacy and upholding the balance of threats. Studies suggest peace and equilibrium are incomplete topics when taken into account in diplomacy between regions if a threat is present. AI has shown to be proficient in determining any threat to a nation. It might be utilised more frequently to create a set of early indications that would alert to ongoing changes in the balance of a nation (Oriesek, 2022).
AI can help va