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Optionova Forecasts (Other (Not Listed) Sample)
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Optionova forecasts: what should we expect in 2014 in the world: growth or falling of dollar?
The USA is no longer a world hegemon. This is written about during last years by two-three journalists from the whole world, including the U.S. Certainly, not everyone agrees with this statement, and it is obviously the continuing influence of the United States on global processes. However, this impact is not precisely defined as in the nineties of the twentieth century or in the beginning of the twenty-first. Meanwhile, U.S. was the hegemon not only in geopolitical, but also in economic terms.
What means for the United States the loss of status as a "world leader" for the world economy, commented analysts of Binary Options Broker HYPERLINK "Optionova.com"Optionova.
The USA loses positions: arguments – geopolitics and dollar.
USA loss of hegemonic status became evident after the end of the situation with Syria. For a long time all American propaganda machine, backed by the range of friendship, or simply dependent, European HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/smi.html" \o "CМИ"HYPER14MSMHYPER15, escalated the situation around Syria. It was at least the upcoming invasion, if Syria does not comply the USA ultimatum. But to start with, Libya were mistakes, and they don’t want to hear about support for the invasion of Syria.
Anyway, they could not impose their own version in the USA and had to agree with one of the most unacceptable (ideologically) with Russian. This is how outside observers see it. However, not only observers but also some American experts interpreted the incident as a geopolitical failure that dropped the USA from its pedestal, but forced to share this pedestal with others. The most pessimistic USA experts even joined the chorus of foreign enemies, who became prophesy imminent collapse of the American positions and beyond geopolitics, particularly, in the economy. Naturally, the first negative forecasts touched currency number one in the world the U.S. dollar.
Longtime death prophecy of dollar: from myths to reality?
We should notice that the hard destiny of dollar as the world's number one currency predicting long enough and it is reasonable. First, we should not forget that the United States since the nineties of the twentieth century are in a difficult position in terms of production. Globalization processes, the transfer of production capacity in the "cheap" countries, rising unemployment, violation of economic relationships, all this, of course, could not help affecting the "fortress" of the dollar.
This problem was managed by American government in two ways: military stimulating of the economy and commonplace emissions, backed only by the printing press existence. Mainly foreign countries whose economies were tightly “tied” to the dollar, suffered from this but didn’t have access to the printing press.
But the financial crisis of 2008 was the second reason for "dollar malaise." Despite the fact that the U.S. economy, which has become the "base" of the crisis, benefited from it certain benefits, the global status of the dollar crisis has long-term impact. It is a long-term, as a sharp drop in rates has affected many currencies, but not a dollar. But Dollar felt a severe blow in 2011, the year - and it's the third ground for pessimism about the dollar. In 2011, HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/novosti-azii/china.html" \o "Китай"HYPER14ChinaHYPER15 and Russia have moved in trade calculations on Yuan, replacing them until the ubiquitous dollar. The mere fact of failure "trouble-free" number one currency became tangible blow and image, and the positions of the dollar.
Also, we should not forget that growing problems in the European market are reflected in the income of American companies and the value of their shares. Companies are getting cheaper China buys them, in parallel with this American capital begins to leave the United States, which also does not bring anything good dollar.
What should we expect in the nearest future? "There are a few key points," - explained leading Optionova expert Mikle K.:
1. This is FRS meeting on Wednesday. According to forecasts, we will see a reduction of QE3, if so, at the moment the pair will decline.
2. This is the inflation and unemployment on Friday. A number of financial institutions, including the IMF, concern the beginning of the deflation process in the euro zone; it will therefore close attention to these data. Latest data on PMI in the euro zone have been better than expected, indicating the steady growth of the economy. If the data is in line with expectations, it will support the HYPERLINK "-forex.org/forex/kursy-valjut/eur.html" \o "ÐšÑƒÑ€Ñ ÐµÐ²Ñ€Ð¾ EUR"HYPER14euro rateHYPER15, because at the background of a growing economy, we see a weak inflation, but not weak enough to take the additional incentives.
3. U.S. debt. Session is scheduled for the 7th of February, but the fact of uncertainty imposes additional risks for the dollar, which obviously will not support it.
Conclusion: at the moment the euro rate will remain stable, with the prospect of modest growth, but, as before, the potential of this growth will be limited. Above 1.39 longs for the moment it is not recommended to keep.
We can see an attempt to push the price to the seller, but without the continuation of the movement, which indicates the presence of sufficient demand at current levels, and when while drivers appear the price can be raised:
HYPERLINK "-forex.org/system/user_files/Images/News/01-2014/280114/post-23243-0-33539500-1390845348_thumb.png"
What do experts tell about the dollar’s destiny?
Are there enough grounds to herald the collapse of the dollar? However, for forecasts and portents it is clearly enough, but how close are these predictions to reality? Indeed, many analysts argue that in 2014, the next wave of the crisis “will cover" not just Western countries but the "Asian Tigers". Production, consumption and GDP in HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/novosti-azii/japan.html" \o "ЯпониÑ"HYPER14JapanHYPER15, India, Singa...
The USA is no longer a world hegemon. This is written about during last years by two-three journalists from the whole world, including the U.S. Certainly, not everyone agrees with this statement, and it is obviously the continuing influence of the United States on global processes. However, this impact is not precisely defined as in the nineties of the twentieth century or in the beginning of the twenty-first. Meanwhile, U.S. was the hegemon not only in geopolitical, but also in economic terms.
What means for the United States the loss of status as a "world leader" for the world economy, commented analysts of Binary Options Broker HYPERLINK "Optionova.com"Optionova.
The USA loses positions: arguments – geopolitics and dollar.
USA loss of hegemonic status became evident after the end of the situation with Syria. For a long time all American propaganda machine, backed by the range of friendship, or simply dependent, European HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/smi.html" \o "CМИ"HYPER14MSMHYPER15, escalated the situation around Syria. It was at least the upcoming invasion, if Syria does not comply the USA ultimatum. But to start with, Libya were mistakes, and they don’t want to hear about support for the invasion of Syria.
Anyway, they could not impose their own version in the USA and had to agree with one of the most unacceptable (ideologically) with Russian. This is how outside observers see it. However, not only observers but also some American experts interpreted the incident as a geopolitical failure that dropped the USA from its pedestal, but forced to share this pedestal with others. The most pessimistic USA experts even joined the chorus of foreign enemies, who became prophesy imminent collapse of the American positions and beyond geopolitics, particularly, in the economy. Naturally, the first negative forecasts touched currency number one in the world the U.S. dollar.
Longtime death prophecy of dollar: from myths to reality?
We should notice that the hard destiny of dollar as the world's number one currency predicting long enough and it is reasonable. First, we should not forget that the United States since the nineties of the twentieth century are in a difficult position in terms of production. Globalization processes, the transfer of production capacity in the "cheap" countries, rising unemployment, violation of economic relationships, all this, of course, could not help affecting the "fortress" of the dollar.
This problem was managed by American government in two ways: military stimulating of the economy and commonplace emissions, backed only by the printing press existence. Mainly foreign countries whose economies were tightly “tied” to the dollar, suffered from this but didn’t have access to the printing press.
But the financial crisis of 2008 was the second reason for "dollar malaise." Despite the fact that the U.S. economy, which has become the "base" of the crisis, benefited from it certain benefits, the global status of the dollar crisis has long-term impact. It is a long-term, as a sharp drop in rates has affected many currencies, but not a dollar. But Dollar felt a severe blow in 2011, the year - and it's the third ground for pessimism about the dollar. In 2011, HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/novosti-azii/china.html" \o "Китай"HYPER14ChinaHYPER15 and Russia have moved in trade calculations on Yuan, replacing them until the ubiquitous dollar. The mere fact of failure "trouble-free" number one currency became tangible blow and image, and the positions of the dollar.
Also, we should not forget that growing problems in the European market are reflected in the income of American companies and the value of their shares. Companies are getting cheaper China buys them, in parallel with this American capital begins to leave the United States, which also does not bring anything good dollar.
What should we expect in the nearest future? "There are a few key points," - explained leading Optionova expert Mikle K.:
1. This is FRS meeting on Wednesday. According to forecasts, we will see a reduction of QE3, if so, at the moment the pair will decline.
2. This is the inflation and unemployment on Friday. A number of financial institutions, including the IMF, concern the beginning of the deflation process in the euro zone; it will therefore close attention to these data. Latest data on PMI in the euro zone have been better than expected, indicating the steady growth of the economy. If the data is in line with expectations, it will support the HYPERLINK "-forex.org/forex/kursy-valjut/eur.html" \o "ÐšÑƒÑ€Ñ ÐµÐ²Ñ€Ð¾ EUR"HYPER14euro rateHYPER15, because at the background of a growing economy, we see a weak inflation, but not weak enough to take the additional incentives.
3. U.S. debt. Session is scheduled for the 7th of February, but the fact of uncertainty imposes additional risks for the dollar, which obviously will not support it.
Conclusion: at the moment the euro rate will remain stable, with the prospect of modest growth, but, as before, the potential of this growth will be limited. Above 1.39 longs for the moment it is not recommended to keep.
We can see an attempt to push the price to the seller, but without the continuation of the movement, which indicates the presence of sufficient demand at current levels, and when while drivers appear the price can be raised:
HYPERLINK "-forex.org/system/user_files/Images/News/01-2014/280114/post-23243-0-33539500-1390845348_thumb.png"
What do experts tell about the dollar’s destiny?
Are there enough grounds to herald the collapse of the dollar? However, for forecasts and portents it is clearly enough, but how close are these predictions to reality? Indeed, many analysts argue that in 2014, the next wave of the crisis “will cover" not just Western countries but the "Asian Tigers". Production, consumption and GDP in HYPERLINK "-forex.org/novosti-mira/novosti-azii/japan.html" \o "ЯпониÑ"HYPER14JapanHYPER15, India, Singa...
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